8 Predictions for Macworld 2008

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8 Predictions for Macworld 2008

1. iTunes Update
2. AppleTV Update
3. The Strongest Holiday Season Ever
4. Updated Macbooks
5. No iTablet
6. iPhone and iPod Touch Software Updates
7. iPhone SDK
8. One More thing…Mac Nano

In brief there they are. I think most are right on. iTunes update is a no brainer. We already see rental strings in current iTunes software versions. Strong sales has been on for Apple for several quarters, no signs of slowing down there. Macbook updates. I think this will happen, as this is a consumer oriented show…that said. iPhone SDK? MacPro Updates (not mentioned, but often spoken about). Those sound more like WWDC updates to me. Though I think the original PowerBook was shown off at MWSF…so it certainly isn’t completely out of the realm of possibility.
I think it might make sense for the Nano and the AppleTV to merge. The AppleTV hasn’t been selling gangbusters and neither have the competitors. A Mac for the living room, with AppleTV functionality, but with more power might be the way to go. That said, Jobs is notoriously against TV-as-monitor. He sees them, and correctly so, as two different exercises. One is brain on (computer) one is brain-off (television).

Only time will tell.

The French like the iPhone apparently

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iPhone

Orange sells 30,000 iPhones in first five days.


Orange, the mobile unit of France Telecom, announced on Wednesday that it sold approximately 30,000 Apple iPhones in the first five days the device was available for customers in France.

The iPhone launched in France on November 29th with Orange projecting to sell 100,000 units by the end of 2007.

This certainly would fly in the face of the story we have heard trotted about recently that “European buyers are more phone saavy” or “The iPhone is an average phone in Europe” of “European buyers would eschew non-3G phones”

In fact, 6,000 $400 Euro (or more) phones per day seems pretty good to me.

A word on fascism..

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Beginner

Dr. Lawrence Britt, a political scientist, published research on fascism in which he examined the fascist regimes of Hitler, Mussolini, Franco, Suharto and several Latin American regimes. Britt found 14 defining characteristics common to each fascist State:

1. Powerful and Continuing Nationalism - Fascist regimes tend to make constant use of patriotic mottos, slogans, symbols, songs and other paraphernalia. Flags are seen everywhere as are flag symbols on clothing and in public displays.

2. Disdain for the recognition of Human Rights - Because of fear of enemies and the need for security, the people in fascist regimes are persuaded that human rights can be ignored in certain cases because of “need.” The people tend to look the other way or even approve of torture, summary executions, assassinations, long incarceration of prisoners, etc.

3. Identification of Enemies/Scapegoats as a Unifying Cause - The people are rallied into a unifying patriotic frenzy over the need to eliminate a perceived common threat or foe: racial, ethnic or religious minorities; liberals; communists; socialists; terrorists, etc.

4. Supremacy of the Military - Even when there are widespread domestic problems, the military is given a disproportionate amount of government funding, and the domestic agenda is neglected. Soldiers and military are glamorized.

5. Rampant sexism - The government of fascist nations tend to be almost exclusively male-dominated. Under fascist regimes, traditional gender roles are made more rigid. Divorce, abortion and homosexuality are suppressed and the state is represented as the ultimate guardian of the family institution.

6. Controlled Mass Media - Sometimes the media is directly controlled by the government, but in other cases, the media is indirectly controlled by government regulation, or sympathetic media spokespeople and executives. Censorship, especially in war time, is very common.

7. Obsession with National security - Fear is used as a motivational tool by the government over the masses.

8. Religion and Government are intertwined - Government in fascist nations tend to use the most common religion in the nation as a tool to manipulate public opinion. Religious rhetoric and terminology is common from government leaders, even when the major tenets of the religion are diametrically opposed to the government’s policies or actions.

9. Corporate Power is Protected - The industrial and business aristocracy of a fascist nation are often the ones who put the government leaders into power, creating a mutually beneficial business/government relationship and power elite.

10. Labor Power is suppressed - Because the organizing power of labor is the only real threat to a fascist government, labor unions are either eliminated, or are severely restricted.

11. Disdain for Intellectuals and the Arts - Fascist nations tend to promote and tolerate open hostility to higher education, and academia. It is not uncommon for professors and other academics to be censored or even arrested. Free expression in the arts and letters is openly attacked.

12. Obsession with Crime and Punishment - Under fascist regimes, the police are given almost limitless power to enforce laws. The people are often willing to overlook police abuses and even forego civil liberties in the name of patriotism. There is often a national police force with virtually unlimited power in fascist nations.

13. Rampant Cronyism and Corruption - Fascist regimes almost always are governed by groups of friends and associates who appoint each other to government positions and use governmental power and authority to protect their friends from accountability. It is not uncommon in fascist regimes for national resources and even treasures to be appropriated or even outright stolen by government leaders.

14. Fraudulent Elections - Sometimes elections in fascist nations are a complete sham. Other times elections are manipulated by smear campaigns against or even assassinations of opposition candidates, use of legislation to control voting numbers or political district boundaries, and manipulation of the media. Fascist nations also typically use their judiciaries to manipulate or control elections.

Benito Mussolini - who knew something about fascism - had a more straightforward definition: “Fascism should more properly be called corporatism because it is the merger of state and corporate power.”

Abraham Lincoln stated, “I see in the near future a crisis approaching that unnerves me, and causes me to tremble for the safety of our country. Corporations have been enthroned, an era of corruption will follow, and the money power of the country will endeavor to prolong its reign by working upon the prejudices of the people, until wealth is aggregated in a few hands and the republic is destroyed.”

More Mr. Wills

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God Bless Texas and God Bless Bob Wills

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Little Kids Play Iron Maiden (well)

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iPhone release date confirmed: yours on June 29th

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Beginner

The rumors and speculation can finally be quelled. iPhone. 6/29/2007. Seems great, huh?

read more | digg story

Bill and Steve highlights

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News

Microsoft Surface is here. Will we see a patent showdown?

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News

At the All things Digitial conference today, Steve Ballmer introduced what appears to be Microsoft’s idea for the future of computers. Milan, priced initially between 5-10k, will be bought and manufactured by Microsoft, much like the XBox 360. The specifications were not released. The concept is intriguing, interaction with your computer by touch. We have seen this demonstration, mainly by, Jeff Han and Apple at the iPhone introduction.
Apple has claimed (Steve: “200 patents”, “And boy have we patented it!”) they are well protected when it comes to iPhone patents, and a pretty exhaustive search seems to go along with that idea. Will it be a showdown, or has Microsoft simply found a new way to reach the touchscreen world. Only time will tell.

More later, I am still trying to dive through all of this.

Update x 1:
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IBM’s Power6 spotted bashing Oracle at 4.7GHz

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With 4.7GHz chips (4MB of L2 and 32MB of L3 cache), an IBM p570 server showed an average response time of .625 seconds when handling requests from 2,100 users. That compares to a p570 with 2.2GHz Power5+ chips that handled .983 requests per second for 2,000 users.

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